Global talks on climate change looked set early Saturday to establish a new global fund to manage billions of dollars in aid to poor nations in a hard-fought package urging deep cuts in industrial emissions.
After two weeks of talks in Mexico and two virtually sleepless final days, more than 190 countries were likely to approve a proposal that leaves open an extension of the Kyoto Protocol whose requirements expire in two years.
“We will have done a great service not only on climate change and on this multilateral process, but most importantly to millions of people and to future generations,” Mexican Foreign Secretary Patricia Espinosa told the talks in the resort of Cancun.
A year after the chaotic Copenhagen summit, Espinosa won wide praise for steering the talks and seeking consensus on building blocks to a future climate treaty. Indian Environment Minister Jairam Ramesh even called her a “goddess.”
But the talks left much of the hard work to next year’s talks in Durban — including the crucial question of by how much all nations will cut carbon emissions blamed for global warming.
Bolivia was the main holdout to the proposal. To the dismay of many other negotiators, Bolivian negotiator Pedro Solon took the microphone repeatedly after midnight, saying the deal would not halt climate change “will put more humans in a near-death situation.”
But the vast majority of countries offered support and the two main working groups recommended approval. Australian Climate Change Minister Greg Combet called the deal a “historic step forward.”
Chief US negotiator Todd Stern said the deal “while not perfect, is certainly a good basis for moving forward,” voicing hope it would “put the world on a more hopeful path toward a low-emissions and sustainable future.”
In a key area, the agreement would set up a “Green Climate Fund” to administer assistance to poor nations, which many experts say are already suffering more floods and drought as temperatures steadily mount.
The fund would be steered by a board of 24 members chosen evenly from developed and developing nations. For the first three years, the new international organization would be overseen by the World Bank — a point of controversy for some activists who distrust the Washington-based lender.
The European Union, Japan and the United States have led pledges of 100 billion dollars a year for poor nations up to 2020, along with 30 billion dollars in immediate assistance.
A broader issue is just how wealthy nations would raise the money, with some negotiators advocating levies on airplane and shipping fuel.
The draft calls for “urgent action” to cap temperature rises at no more than two degrees Celsius (3.6 Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial levels and asks for a study on strengthening the commitment to 1.5 degrees Celsius.
The proposal says it “recognizes that deep cuts in global greenhouse gas emissions are required according to science.”
The accord at Copenhagen included similar language, but it was never approved by the full UN-led talks.
The Cancun proposal also agreed on ways forward on fighting deforestation and on monitoring nations’ climate pledges.
But the talks were stuck for days over the fate of the Kyoto Protocol, the landmark treaty whose obligations on wealthy countries to cut emissions run out at the end of 2012.
With a new treaty looking distant, the European Union led calls for a new round of commitments under Kyoto.
Japan opposed a new Kyoto round, pointing out that the treaty named after its ancient capital covers only 30 percent of global emissions because top polluters including China and the United States are not part of it.
In a compromise embraced by Japan, the proposed Cancun agreement calls for work on a second period of the Kyoto Protocol “to ensure that there is no gap” but does not oblige countries to be part of the new round.
Japan faced intense pressure to compromise, with British Prime Minister David Cameron telephoning his counterpart Naoto Kan, diplomats said.
The Kyoto Protocol makes no demands on emerging economies to curb emissions. China has refused to be subjected to a treaty, although India in a surprise shift in Cancun said it would at least consider binding action in the future.
Environmentalists were mostly positive. Tim Gore of anti-poverty movement Oxfam welcomed the Green Climate Fund and said the draft Cancun accord “breathes new life” into UN-led talks on climate change.